نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و اجتماعی، سنندج، دانشگاه کردستان، ایران
2 استادیار، گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران
3 استادیار گروه علوم اقتصادی، دانشکده علوم انسانی و اجتماعی، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران.
4 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، گروه توسعه اقتصادی و برنامه‌ریزی، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
In recent years, the COVID-19 pandemic has inflicted considerable harm on economies globally. Within economic discourse, particular emphasis has been placed on assessing the composite index of economic resilience to external shocks, aiming to quantify this notion. This study sets out to investigate how the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the economic resilience of countries across varying income levels - high, medium, and low. Encompassing 150 nations, this research employs the PSTR model over the timeframe spanning 2020 to 2021. The Economic Resilience Index is computed utilizing the Bruegel method for this inquiry. The findings underscore a noteworthy adverse effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on countries' economic resilience. Linearity assessments confirm the presence of a nonlinear correlation among the variables. By incorporating a transition function and a threshold parameter, a two-regime model adeptly elucidates the nonlinear association among pattern variables within the three income groups: high, medium, and low. The slope parameter (transition speed) for these country groups is calculated as 4.57, 5.00, and 8.12, respectively. The estimations from the model reveal that both in linear and nonlinear regimes, the COVID-19 variable detrimentally impacts the economic resilience of high, medium, and low-income country cohorts. This suggests that heightened instances of the COVID-19 pandemic precipitate a decline in the economic resilience levels across these country groups. Policymakers need to apply other policies aimed at reducing the spread and prevention of the COVID-19 disease, considering strengthening the economic resilience of countries. These measures can include policies to strengthen health infrastructure, create economic and social programs to face the crisis, and encourage the development of human resources needed to deal with the disease and its effects on the economy.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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