نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
استادیار اقتصاد کشاورزی، موسسه پژوهشهای برنامهریزی، اقتصاد کشاورزی و توسعهی روستایی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The amount and share of capital stock and investment in Iran's agricultural sector is low and it is facing a historical backwardness. Investment is one of the key variables affecting the macro indicators of the agricultural sector. The amount of investment in the agricultural sector depends on the two main factors of profitability and economic security. The low profitability and economic security of agriculture in comparison with other economic sectors has played a significant role in creating this situation. The existence of various types of risk and uncertainty in agriculture has a special contribution to low annual investment. For the development of agricultural investment, it is necessary to be aware of the factors and obstacles facing it in this sector. In this study, using the annual statistics of 1990-2021 and the NARDL approach, the effect of producer inflation and the asymmetric effects of consumer inflation on investment in the agricultural sector of Iran has been examined. The results, on the one hand, indicate the positive effect of the agricultural producer price index on agricultural investment, and on the other hand, the asymmetric effect of increasing and decreasing fluctuations of the inflation rate on investment in the agricultural sector of Iran in the short term and Long term has been confirmed. In this regard and in order to increase investment in the agricultural sector, besides the necessity of improving the productivity of capital, stabilizing the exchange rate and reducing the interest rate of agricultural facilities, it is emphasized not to suppress the price of agricultural products, increase the price support for farmers and consumer inflation reduction in the economy.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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