نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد و علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران.
2 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد و علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی0، تهران، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The main problem of the current research is to examine the changes in the economic distance between sectors and the structural changes of Iran's economy with the using of the Average Propagation Length Method using the tables of 1999, 2004, 2010 and 2016 (the last available table) of Central Bank Input – Output data table. The purpose of this research is to examine the changes of production activities with chain attitude over the time, because the examination of economic activities only with one Input-Output table does not give the policymaker a proper vision. The results show that the connections between activities were weakened in 2004 and 2010 compared to 1999, but in 2016 the production Linkages were strengthened to some extent. Also, the studies indicate that because the upstream activities transmit the demand shock faster and the cost pressure later, they have mainly been the focus of the politicians in Iran. But as they produce raw and semi-raw products and create little employment, the industrial development strategy for resource-oriented countries (RBI) such as Iran, recommends moving towards downstream activities and joining regional and international value chains. The research shows that the lack of a specific industrial policy has prevented the production linkages from being intertwined and also, the findings indicate that during this period of time, the focus of development in production chains (in Iran) was on mining. Finally, it is suggested that while completing the missing links of the production chains towards the downstream activities, the priority of this movement should be in the mining oriented chains then agricultural oriented chains.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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